Oil EXITOil US Crude 20201201 10.05

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Spot Palladium 2EXITSpot Palladium 20201203 09.59

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NZD JPY exit65NZD JPY 20201127 08.55

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GBP AUD 200exit

GBP has fallen rapidly as Brexit remain at an impasse. UK PM Johnson is reportedly ready to abandon talks. Negotiations continue in Brussels. 

GBPAUD H4 11 19 2020 0837

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USDCADexit90

USD/CAD pierces the monthly cloud top, trades to a 26-month low. A bounce ensues though and the pair erases much of its earlier drop. A daily doji candle forms & daily RSI does not confirm the new low. The daily signals imply a correction in the bear trend could be due. 

 

USDCAD H4 12 01 2020 1357

 

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AUD JPY 2EXITAUD JPY 20201127 08.56

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EUR JPY 70pips

The euro and yen have also been buffeted by month-end flows. But with this short-lived phenomenon now largely over, focus ought to return to the usual themes driving the two currencies; risk appetite, central banks and economic fundamentals.

In particular, JPY traders will be watching for any hints that US states are moving further into lockdown, something which could support JPY vs its G10 peers including EUR. Moreover, Japanese November manufacturing and services PMIs are released on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, which ought to garner some attention, as should speeches from BoJ’s Amamiya and Suzuki.

Meanwhile, EUR traders very much expect a hefty dose of easing from the ECB on 16 December and will be looking for further confirmation of as much from ECB President Christine Lagarde (speaking on Tuesday) and ECB Chief Economist Lane (speaking on Wednesday). Meanwhile, November Consumer Price Inflation is likely to be very soft and is released on Wednesday, while traders will also be watching Eurozone retail sales on Thursday.

EUR/JPY double top?
With EUR/JPY strongly rejecting resistance at the previous monthly high at 125.14, a double top has been put in. If this does turn out to be a meaningful double top, eyes will be on support just below the 124.00 level (26 November lows) and then the pair’s 21 and 50-day moving averages just above 123.50. Below that at the 123.00 level, there is also strong support (2 and 15 October lows and 18, 19 and 20 November lows).

EUR JPY 20201117 09.22

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US Tech 100 exitUS Tech 100 20201202 13.36

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USDCHFexit

USDCHF H4 11 18 2020 0916

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