EURAUD D1 12 02 2019 0934

The EUR/AUD pair is still into an uptrend, according to our technical analysis. The price on the daily chart has already reached EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100. The MACD is into positive territory, and the RSI oscillator is above 50. According to the weekly chart, the price is above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100. The stochastic oscillator and the RSI on the weekly chart indicate the uptrend for this pair.

The most important data from this week:
December 2
ECB President Lagarde testifies at European Parliament
December 3
RBA rate (0.75% expectation); ( 0.75% previous)
December 4
Australia GDP QoQ (0.5% expectation)
YoY (1.4% expectation 

EURAUD W1 12 02 2019 0935

 

 

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DAXdaily page 001

The DAX 30 index might continue to rise, according to the daily and weekly charts. The price has already reached EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the daily chart, and the MACD indicator is still positive. The RSI oscillator is above 50 on the weekly chart, and this indicates an uptrend. The price has also hit EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the weekly chart. The price might increase to form a triangular shape at 13620. The German economic performance is also an effect of the low interest rates. Mario Draghi's pledge on low interest rates hits euro and lifts bonds.

The most important data from this week:
October 24
Eurozone PMI (50.4 expectation); ( 50.1 previous)
ECB rate (-0.50% expectation); (-0.50 previous)
ECB Mario Draghi press conference

DAXweekly page 001

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EURUSD D1 11 25 2019 1001

 

The EUR/USD pair will fall in the near term, according to the daily and weekly charts. The price is above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the daily chart. The MACD indicator is into negative territory. The RSI oscillator on the weekly chart is above 50, and the downtrend RSI pattern is in the progress of getting completed. The price on the weekly chart is still above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, and the stochastic moves down. EUR/USD pair also declines because of the interest rate differentials between the US and Eurozone. The interest rate in the US is higher than the interest rate in Eurozone.

The most important data from this week:

November 27
US GDP Q3 (1.9% expectation); ( 1.9% previous)
November 28
Germany CPI YoY (1.2% expectation); ( 0.9% previous)
MoM (-0.6% expectation); ( 0.1% previous)
November 29
Germany Unemployment Change (5k expectation); (6k previous)
Unemployment Rate (5.0% expectation); ( 5.0% previous)
Eurozone CPI YoY (1.2% expectation); (1.1% previous)
MoM (-0.4% expectation); ( 0.1% previous)

EURUSD W1 11 25 2019 0959

 

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AUDdaily page 001

The AUD/USD currency pair might rise in the medium term, according to our daily and weekly analysis. The pair is now at its highest level since September 25. The gains follow weak U.S. inflation data.
The MACD is into positive territory, and the price has already hit EMA 20 and EMA 50, on the daily chart. The stochastic oscillator might be on the rise, according to the weekly chart.

The fundamental data from this week:
October 15
RBA minutes
October 17
Australia Employment Change (15k expected); ( 34k previous)
Rate (5.3% expected); (5.3% previous)
RBA Governor Lowe speaks in WashingtonAUDweekly page 001

EURCAD D1 11 18 2019 0924

 

The EUR/CAD pair might rise in the near term, according to our technical and fundamental analysis. The price has already reached EMA 20 and EMA 50 on the daily chart, and the stochastic indicator is positive. The price might hit 1.4880 level, where is Fibo 23% on the daily chart.
As prices keep rising in an uptrend, the RSI will cross the 50 mark, on the weekly chart. The price is near EMA 20, and it has already formed a triangle trendline.

The most important data from this week:
November 20
ECB publishes Financial Stability Review
Canada CPI YoY (1.9% expectation); ( 1.9% previous)
MoM (0.3% expectation); ( -0.4% previous)
November 21
ECB minutes
Bundesbank publishes Financial Stability Review
BOC Chairman Poloz speaks in Toronto
November 22
Germany GDP YoY (1.00% expectation);( 1.00% previous)
November 23
ECB President Lagarde speaks in Frankfurt

EURCAD W1 11 18 2019 0957

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GBPUSDdaily page 001

The GBP/USD pair might rise in the medium term. The MACD Histogram may indicate a future uptrend for this pair, according to the daily chart. The stochastic oscillator may continue to rise in the medium term. According to the weekly chart, the uptrend RSI pattern is in the progress of getting completed.
The UK interest rates remain stable. The Bank of England has previously hinted that rates could start to increase soon, only to leave them unchanged. On the other hand, the United States lowered last month its interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, from 2% to an annual rate of 1.75%.

The most important data from this week:
October 7
U.S. Monthly Budget Statement
October 8
BOE Chairman Mark Carney speaks in Tokyo
FED Evens speaks in Chicago
FED Chairman Powell speaks in Denver
October 9
FED Chairman Powell speaks in Kansas
FOMC minutes
October 10
UK GDP 3 months (0.1% expectation); (0.00% previous)
MoM (0.00% expectation); (0.3% previous)
US CPI YoY (2.4% expectation); ( 2.4% previous)

GUweekly page 001

 

GBPUSD D1 11 11 2019 1000

The GBP/USD pair might rise in the near term, according to our technical and fundamental analysis. The stochastic oscillator reached oversold levels by dropping below 20. The price may rise to 1.3175, where is Fibo 50%. The RSI indicator is above 50 on the weekly chart, and this shows an uptrend. Furthermore, the trend line on the weekly chart indicates the uptrend. The price is still above EMA 20 and EMA 50 on the weekly chart and a medium-term target might be 1.3139.

The most important data from this week:
November 12
UK Employment Change (-102k expectation); (-56k previous)
UK Unemployment rate (3.9% expectation); (3.9% previous)
November 13
UK CPI (1.6% expectation); (1.7% previous)
US CPI (1.7% expectation); (1.7% previous)
FED Chairman Jerome Powell Addresses Joint Economic Committee Of Congress
November 14
FED Chairman Jerome Powell Appears Before House Budget Committee 

GBPUSD W1 11 11 2019 1003

 

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EURAUDdaily page 001

 

The EUR/AUD pair might fall in the medium term, according to our technical and fundamental analysis.

The downtrend price pattern is in the progress of getting completed both on the daily and weekly chart. The price might reach EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, on the weekly chart. The price might hit the three bottoms: 1.5908, 1.5690, and 1.5460.

The MACD is near the negative territory on the daily chart, and the possible next target is 1.5893, at Fibo 0.61.

The interest rate differential between the Euro Zone and Australia is higher, and this is a sign of a more decrease in EUR as against AUD.

The most important data from this week:

October 1

RBA rate decision (0.75% expectation); ( 1% previous)

October 3

Australia trade balance (6bl expectation); ( 7.2bl previous)

October 4

RBA Financial Stability Review EURAUDweekly page 001

 

EURJPY D1 11 04 2019 1004

The EUR/JPY pair may fall in the near term, according to the daily and weekly charts. The MACD indicator is into negative territory, and the stochastic oscillator is down on the daily chart. The stochastic oscillator is in the overbought zone on the weekly chart. On the other hand, recent data from Europe are not favorable. Factory activity across the eurozone contracted sharply last month as demand was again stifled by the lack of clarity over Britain’s departure from the European Union and the U.S. trade war with China.
The most important data from this week:
November 5
Eurozone PPI MoM (+0.1% expectation); (-0.5% previous)
You (-1.2% expectation); (-0.8% previous)
November 6
Eurozone Composite PMI (50.2 expectation); ( 50.2 previous)
Services PMI (51.8 expectation); (51.8 previous)
November 7
EU Commision Economic Forecast

EURJPY W1 11 04 2019 1005

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AUDUSD D1 09 02 2019 1011

 

The AUD/USD is expected to be among the top movers this week. This currency pair continues to fall in the medium-term, according to our technical and fundamental analysis. The price is still below Ema 20, Ema 50, and Ema 100, on the daily and weekly charts. Another sign of the downtrend is that the RSI oscillator remains below 50.

The U.S, economy is in good shape, and the US Dollar will continue to rise. The U.S. economy continues to exceed expectations as consumers remain as confident as ever. While unemployment is at a record low, the number of jobs being created in the U.S. economy varies widely from month to month. On the other hand, the Australia's central bank is likely to retain its dovish bias and signal that they are willing to act and ease policy further if needed. 

The most important data from this week:

September 3 

RBA rate  (1.00% expectation); ( 1.00% previous)

September 4 

Australia GDP  QoQ (0.4% expectation); ( 0.4% previous)

                         YoY   (1.8% expectation); (1.8% previous) 

September 5 

U.S ADP Employment Change (140k expectation); ( 156k previous) 

September 6 

U.S NFP   (162k expectation); ( 164k previous)

U.S Unemplyment rate  (3.7% expectation); ( 3.7% previous) 

AUDUSD W1 09 02 2019 1011

 

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