Weekly analysis

The AUD/USD pair might fall, according to the daily and weekly charts. The RSI oscillator is near the overbought level, at 68. The price is already above EMA 20 and EMA 50 on the weekly chart. The Stochastic indicator is near the overbought level on the weekly chart, but the price stays below EMA 100.

The most important data from this week:
June 2
RBA rate decision (0.25% expectation); ( 0.25% previous)
June 3
Australia GDP YoY (1.4% expectation); ( 2.2% previous)
QoQ (-0.3% expectation); (0.5% previous)
US ADP Employment Change (-900k expectation); (-20236k previous)
June 5
US NFP (-8250K expectation); (-20500K previous)
US Unemployment Rate (19.7% expectation); (14.7% previous) 

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The EUR/USD currency pair might fall in the near term, based on our technical and fundamental analysis. The price has already reached EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, on the daily chart. The MACD is still into negative territory. The price is also below EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the weekly chart, and the RSI is still below 50. The Stochastic oscillator indicates a downtrend in progress.

The most important data from this week:
April 29
Germany CPI YoY (0.7% expectation); (1.4% previous)
US GDP QoQ (-4.0% expectation); (+1.8% previous)
FOMC rate decision (0.00% expectation); (0.00% previous)
FED Chairman Powell press conference
April 30
Germany unemployment change (77k expectation); (1k previous)
rate (5.2% expectation); (5.0% previous)
Eurozone CPI YoY (0.7% previous); (1.0% previous)
Italy GDP YoY (-5.2% expectation); (1.0% previous)
ECB rate decision (-0.5% expectation); (-0.5% previous)
ECB President Lagarde’s press conference

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The beginning of an uptrend is expected for the EUR/CAD pair. The MACD is positive, and the price stays above EMA 100, on the daily chart. The price remains into a range, between 50% Fibo and 61% Fibo.
The weekly chart also confirms the uptrend. The stochastic oscillator shows a retracement. The price on the weekly charts is already above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100.

The most important data of this week:

May 27
BOC Governor Poloz speech
May 28
Eurozone Economic Sentiment (70.6 expectation); ( 67 previous)
Germany Inflation Rate YoY (0.6% expectation); (0.9% previous)
MoM (-0.1% expectation); ( 0.4% previous)
May 29
France Inflation Rate YoY (0.3% expectation); ( 0.4% previous)
MoM (0.1% expectation); ( 0.00% previous)
France GDP QoQ (-5.8% expectation); (-0.1% previous)
Austria GDP QoQ (-2.5% expectation); ( 1.0% previous
Italy GDP QoQ (-4.7% expectation); (-0.3% previous)
Eurozone Inflation Rate YoY (0.8% expectation); (0.9% previous)
Canada GDP YoY (-10.% expectation); (+0.3% previous)
MoM (-9% expectation); (0.00% previous)

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The GBP/JPY pair might fall in the near term, according to the daily and weekly charts. The MACD is still positive, but it will become slowly negative. The next leg of the Stochastic oscillator will be down. The price is below EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, both on daily and weekly charts. The next leg of the Stochastic oscillator will be also down, on the weekly chart.

April 21
UK Employment Change 3M (+100k expectation); (+184k previous)
Rate 3M (3.9% expectation); (3.9% previous)
April 22
UK CPI YoY (1.5% expectation); (1.7% previous)
April 24
Japan National CPI YoY (0.4% expectation); (0.4% previous)

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The Nikkei 225 Index might fall in the medium term, based on our technical and fundamental analysis. The MACD stays positive on the daily chart but soon will become negative. The Stochastic oscillator is down, and the price is below EMA 100.
According to the weekly chart, the price is below EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, on the weekly chart. The Stochastic oscillator is moving in a downward trend.

The most important data from this week:
May 18
Japan GDP QoQ (-1.5% expectation); (-4.8% previous)
YoY(-4.6% expectation); (-7.3% previous)
May 21
Japan Trade Balance (-560 bln expectation); (-4.9 bln previous)
May 22
Japan CPI YoY (-0.1% expectation); (0.4% previous)

The AUD/JPY currency pair might rise in the medium and long term, according to the weekly chart. However, this pair indicates a short-term overbought level on the daily chart. The stochastic lines are above 80 on the daily chart, and it means the market is overbought.
There might be a retracement, according to the weekly chart. The price may rise at 75.47, where is Fibo 50 on the weekly chart, to form a triangle.

April 16
Australia employment change (-30k expectation); (+26k previous)
rate (5.4% expectation); ( 5.1% previous)

The MACD indicator is positive, but soon will become negative on the daily chart, according to our technical analysis. The price stays above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the daily chart. According to the weekly chart, the stochastic oscillator is at the top, and a geometric shape has already formed.

The most important data from this week:
May 12
US CPI YoY (1.7% expectation); ( 2.1% previous)
MoM (-0.2% expectation); (-0.1% previous)
Monthly Budget Statement
May 13
FED Chairman Powell Testimony

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The FTSE 100 Index rises 3% by 162 points to 5,578 on Monday, as the City of London welcomes slowing coronavirus death rates in Italy and France. However, the City of London remains concerned about Boris Johnson's health.
The MACD indicator is still positive on the daily chart. The stochastic oscillator indicates a bottom on the daily chart. The uptrend for FTSE 100 is also indicated on the weekly chart. The stochastic oscillator and the RSI oscillator are at the bottom. Britain’s stock market has recently posted its biggest quarterly slump since Black Monday, as the coronavirus forces the UK into a deep recession.

The most important data from this week:
April 8
UK GDP MoM (0.1% expectation); (0.00% previous)
3M (0.1% expectation); (0.00% previous)
UK Trade Balance (10bln expectation); (42bln previous)

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The price is already above EMA 20 and EMA50 on the daily chart. The MACD indicator turns positive, and this helps validate the strength of a medium-term uptrend. The Stochastic oscillator has already reached the bottom, according to the weekly chart. The price also stays above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the weekly chart.

The most important data from this week:
April 5
RBA rate decision 0.25% expectation (0.25% previous)
April 7
ECB Annual report
April 8
RBA Statement on Monetary Policy

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The S&P 500 Index might rise in the near term, according to the daily and weekly charts. A potential target might be 2784, where is Fibo 50 on the daily chart.
The MACD is already positive on the daily chart. According to the weekly chart, the RSI oscillator is near the bottom. The Stochastic indicator might bounce back up in the near term.

The most important data of this week:

March 31
US Consumer confidence (112 expectation); (130 previous)
April 1
ISM Manufacturing (45 expectation); (50 previous)
April 3
US NFP (-100k expectation); ( 273k previous)
US Unemployment rate (3.8% expectation); (3.5% previous)

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